Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Give Me the Lute | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Westward Look | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Summer Dream | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Subsidize | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jamming Eddy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfectionistic | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mongolian Legend | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Court Snort | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Modera | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Kaline | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zzyzx | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Silence | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Point and Shoot | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She’s Resilient | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stressed | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Phenom | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Bulletproof | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ko Olina | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alternate Rock | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | South Coast Route | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tokamak | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Donttestyourluck | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Secret | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buffett | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Non Toxic | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Churchmeister | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Barely Funtional | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Andy Can U Hear Me | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boss Sully | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Geezer | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Discretionary Day | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Buck Owens | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mystic Flyer | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dos Vicios | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Torquewrench | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cryptoholic | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Granny’s Ipa | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Levon | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ranger Joe | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flat On | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pat Can’t Count | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Neon Lights (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classical | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vegas Burner | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Soulfire | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Petcoff | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Six Magpies (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mobe Town | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pioneer Prince | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nyquiler | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Khantaro d’Oro | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Daddysruby | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jensco | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good as Gone | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Swirvin Girvin | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kristi’s Tiger | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Report | 1.60 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Mother Mary | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grazed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spiritual Advisor | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Ransom | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gypsy Tears | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luka Grazie | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tom and Jazzy | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catemaco | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meesh | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.