Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Lucci |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Zyramid |
4.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rebel Posse |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Strugar |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Valiant Vinny |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Nichiren |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Winners Laugh |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Commanding General |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prince Pere |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Stanhope |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Zip Line to Heaven |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Ice Cube Baby |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Happy Clouds |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jackson’s Dixie |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Liquidator |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Goldieness |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shiny Slam |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Coal Mine |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spencerian |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ice Cube Baby |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Beltane |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Our Legal Tender |
3.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Enzo |
2.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Amazing Mizzen |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Thick as Thieves |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Zingales King |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Break the Chains |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Three Captains |
15.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Basic Miles |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aloha Man |
50.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mission North |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Vibrant Force |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Pops Harper |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Bowie Mun |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Takethefifth |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Eastern Extension (IRE) |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Step Ahead |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Army Ranger |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Oboy |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
The Last Jumpstart |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Court Contender |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Here Comes Rusty |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Band Tour |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sergeant Sherman |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
It’s Birdie Birdie |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Lady Ensign |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lady Mosler |
5.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
12 |
12 |
Momentous Miss |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sassy Annie |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sky Buy |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Quick Power Nap |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fashionista |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cora’s Choice |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mashua |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
16 |
16 |
Prospective Candy |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Fessin Up |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Meliponini Bee |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Fashionatta |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Lovely Liza |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Meetmeatthebeach |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Devil Pays in Gold |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Rubys Flash |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kingdom Force |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Malibu Slew |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rye Diggitydog |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Volpe |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Imagine the Glory |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mucho Love |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
El de Larry |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tortola |
30.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dats Dats Dats |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
On the Engine |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Artemus Bridge |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Power Back |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Petit Fils (FR) |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gallant Gold |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Castagno |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Reconvene |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Northern Thunder |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Super E |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fermat |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Shades of Gray |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Crazy Kater |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Colbaloaf |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Noble Conquest |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Our Hoisted Mast |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Formal Order |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Royal Whisper |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Cheeks |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fool Yourself |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Out of Sorts |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Anna Rocks |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dulcimer Dame |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Betcha by Golly |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Looking for Water |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tidewater |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ortus |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
15 |
15 |
Childers |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
John Hall |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Paradise Valley |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Elusive Edge |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rockingham Joe |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fun Notion |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
One Whirlwind Ride |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Monster Mason |
30.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
12 |
12 |
Return the Ring |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Ampersand |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Take Charge Too |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Boss Man J J |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
R B’s the Boss |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
5 |
He Hate Me |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
4 |
Jackie A |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Sicilia Mike |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
7 |
Krug |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
9 |
Dixie Drawl |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Patriotic Party |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
8 |
Lookin for Justice |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1A |
6 |
Sevier |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Assembly Point (BRZ) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.