Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
United Sister |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gospel Spear |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Izzy’s G |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kicken Up Daisy’s |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Good Liquor |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tiny Fortune |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Euro La Paz |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ruby Ransom |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Icy White |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Shootin Run |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Caleb’s Princess |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Gospel Delight |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dodgeball |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Courageous Cappen |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Martique Miss |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chaparrita |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Downondixiebeach |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Luv Map |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
San Mateo Kat |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blondes Havemo Fun |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Diamonds R Forever |
12.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gospel Faith |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Annie’s Song (IRE) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Turn On the Bling |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hal’s Dream |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Autostrada |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dixie Carrousel |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Moro Lingerie |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
I Got a Name |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Super Cindy |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
My My |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Disco Danzing |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Farm Dog |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kiss Principal |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Major Contender |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tater |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Texas Prado |
3.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gist |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
So Brave |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Calipari |
5.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Pissarro’s Mandate |
10.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Noise Complaint |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Magnet and Steel |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sazon |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hallow Point |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Minister Maz |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Secret Survivor |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ghost Creek |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Smarty Ridge |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Texas Twinkies |
6.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gold Declaration |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Asset Basis |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Storm Catcher |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
War Hawk |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Straitfromtheduece |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Texas Bbq |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chez Whiz |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ooey Gooey Chewy |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cinco El Sovereign |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Foo Flighter |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Running Flat Out |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stormsacomin |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bromigo |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Chasin Jason |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Slew’s Liaison |
12.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Herecomestroy |
10.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gospel Crusader |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
Great Excaper |
6.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cole Trickle |
30.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blue Twelve |
20.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
12 |
12 |
He Blue Bayou |
15.00 |
11.9 |
22-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gospel Forest |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Campfire Creed |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiz Life |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crooked Fellow |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mor Lana Spirit |
12.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gunflash |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blameitonmidnight |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lucys Major Mircle |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Projection |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dough Boy |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Runhappy d’Oro |
10.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Glendale |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ti Caillou |
15.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mohaymen Holiday |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Saline River |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pando |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ole Crazy Bone |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.