Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Retail Man |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Swept |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Goldfire |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ice the Kicker |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rob the Bank |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dunedin Causeway |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Charles J |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Just Call Ray |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Higher Quality |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Six Percent |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bold Victory |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tommy Bee |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Treasure Trove |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Invisible War |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bourbon’s Hope |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr Phil |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mister J T |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ensign Parker |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Quickflash |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Striking Speed |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blake B. |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Winning Drive |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Prince James |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Duke of Gloucester |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Collect From Ike |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Timo |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Assertive Attitude |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bolt d’Plata |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Braggadocious |
4.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fire Baron |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sixwillberich |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Elusive Drwong |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
5 |
Lisa’s Vision |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
13 |
13 |
She Caught My Eye |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Libban |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
1 |
Sister Bridget (IRE) |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2B |
15 |
Thought Experiment |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Royal Dame |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Swoop to Finish |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Diamond Hands |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
6 |
Stephanie’s Charm |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Rhiannon |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
14 |
Adeliese’s Smile |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Feathers (IRE) |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
Alluring Angel (GB) |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
9 |
Startup Mentality (IRE) |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
2 |
In Time (FR) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Everlys Girl |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Proud Foot |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
3 |
Howzyourcashflow |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
2 |
Solib |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Roja Ligera |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
9 |
Cupids Girl |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Diamond Collector |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Western Lane |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
8 |
Try It Again |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
10 |
Kisses for Emily |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Daufuskie Island |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Awesome Native |
1.60 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kool Kathmandu |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pay Zone |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Capone |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Leddy |
30.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bezos |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shaky Pants |
4.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Carle Place S.) – Carle Place S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Super Chow |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sir Lancelot |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Just Beat the Odds |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
13 |
13 |
Ninetyprcentmaddie |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Acoustic Ave |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Vacation Dance |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Son of a Birch |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Bal a Kazoo |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Freedom Road |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Listentothemusic |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Gaslight Dancer |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Tappin Josie |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Souzak (FR) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Carol T |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dolomite |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Love Thyself |
30.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Munny Grab |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mia Nipotina |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss Lao |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mel’s Baby Sister |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Collect the Data |
5.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Scarlet’s Dream |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
New York Beach |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Empire Magic |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.