Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Utamaro | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kentucky Joker | 0.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sinaloa | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Munny for Nuthin | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Waflr | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Outcome | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Academy Choice | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Value Area | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Matagora Bay | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Say It | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street View | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Progeny | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gun Song | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Picasita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Morning Cup | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Makar | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gun Maestro | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | M B’s Munning | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itsalittlebitfunny | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | With Know Name | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Guntown | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laughing Boy | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devil’s Cay | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jester’s Song | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Complete Agenda | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anthracite | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rock the Weekend | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Born a Gambler | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Connection | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gut Feeling | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Durkin’s Call | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lord Gatling | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Quartet | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Forty Two Ace | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Dontbelate | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Goldini | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Datesfreedom | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hang Tight | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Pharoahs | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bold Victory | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Jumpster | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rathmore | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aleah Aleah | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J D Factor | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Union Bulldog | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Downing Street | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | For Your Pleasure | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Control | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Have You Heard | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | What’s Up Doc | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thunderian | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brooklyn Diamonds | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ice Road | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clubhouse | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rally Squirrel | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Berlone | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Memphis | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Ways | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baron’s Legacy | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Macallan | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Signator | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cape Trafalgar | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paddington | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quality Chic | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Mark | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luni Sima | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rocco Strong | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cascais | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Book of Wisdom | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Kinda Mischief | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tavin | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ashburn Alley | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Cruiser | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mysaria | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Bourbon | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Photo Finish | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Indecente | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Going for Glory | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stormy Disco | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | In the End | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Love Thyself | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.