Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Healing Waters | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What’s Up Bro | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | All Jokes Aside | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catipari | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Must Be Love | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Run Run Rapidash | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fabricator | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Dude | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raymond | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ain’t Straight | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Controlled Temper | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In Good Taste | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shespun | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gloriette | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Impeccable Timing | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Adeleke | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ocean Bird | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Backwoods Barbie | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | City Shack | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Windy Walk | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Corkage Fee | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tappin Into Genius | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ma Rae’s Girl | 8.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tell Me When | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girl Afraid | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Home Port | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Condiment Girl | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mischievous Gal | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Empire | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Story Hour | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Style | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Heartbreaker | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Got This | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beealea | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Coaxing | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugoi | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Expensive Cut | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What a Country | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bird King | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gita’s Lad | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Into Stars | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lyrical Pardon | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Progeny | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Ray D. | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fantastical | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Two Sip Sally | 2.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Makeup | 4.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sotona | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Taptress | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Mischief | 10.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Save the Mischief | 12.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Walk Street | 20.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Little Miss Munny | 15.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Happy Baytown | 15.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Hamble | 10.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shore War | 15.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mailman Money | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Derby Date | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Group Eighteen | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shooters Shoot | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Upstriker | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Boss | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Queens Jules | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Call Me Midnight | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speight and Malice | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mendel’s Secret | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Grand Aspen | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lincoln Highway | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clyde’s Got a Gun | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Endpoint | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | American Diamond | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir London | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Redemption Time | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Double Clutch | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ten Days Later | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mackillop | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Karma Director | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hardy Choice | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Sherlock’s Jewel | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tiverton (GB) | 12.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Ahijado | 50.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gamer | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Winnemac Avenue | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honed | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glen Airy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Washington’s Union | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Some Mo | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Funny Uncle | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Winston Wolf | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princely | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fast Fall | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jr’s Gift | 3.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bright Spark | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Modern Sound | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Tipsy Runner | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Unmatched | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Joke Master | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wonder Wave (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lola’s Light | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cloudwalker | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Satin Blue | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Copperdrop | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Street View | 4.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Destiny Star | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hauntress | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caberneigh | 30.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charm of the Song | 4.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Luminous Ruler | 30.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Native | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.