Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Wild Wing |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nerky Rose |
10.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Smokey Story |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Den’s Dynasty |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pride of Argyle |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Super Prospector |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
El Smooch |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Grandsonsam |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cream Puff Reaper |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tharolite |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lady Yellowstone |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss You No More |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Texacana |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
De De’s Bird |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sister Skye |
12.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
I’m Grinnin |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Bizzy Legs |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Drivehappy |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Windcracker |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hold Tight |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Unrestricted |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Implicator |
2.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Red Dirt Rich |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bobwhite Bobby |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mega Shack |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Maximum Storm |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Suppose You Dream |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sword of Gold |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Promise Code |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sharp as Damascus |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Pumped Up Kicks |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Latent Shadow |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
11 |
11 |
Sonic Posse |
10.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Miss Long Legs |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Plenty of Gold |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Attitude |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Long Legs |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Seattle Wildcat |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gospel Fabulous |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sky Echo |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Youneedtocalmdown |
8.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Salt Creek Gal |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
United Sister |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Dancing Devil |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tag Me |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Missin Hollywood |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Forty Strangers |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Canonize |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chuy Garza Y. G. |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Classic Rick |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Buddy Mel |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ore Mine |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bell Dozer |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Devil’s Mischief |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wish Man |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Jaxon Traveler |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Alto Road |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Empire of Gold |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Far From Final |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jackman’s Ride |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Algebra |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Straight Luck |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Captain Dozer |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Bender |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mor Victory |
15.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Palace Guard |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mint |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shamayim |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Pepper Jack |
3.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gold Prize |
8.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Optimus Kat |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wilton |
3.50 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Happy Boy Rocket |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.