Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Apollo Rising | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Punctuality | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Levy | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sound Doctrine | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Faith Runner | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oneparticulrharbor | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cousin Odell | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Reign | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silvestre | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Augustine Red | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Joe Joe | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Commissioner Oscar | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Debt Paid | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spin the Boulevard | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Googol Joke | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heart Headed | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | McAvoy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kobe W | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr Big Stuff | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samarita | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Invaluable | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ifihadachance | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Samarita | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fairy Cakes (GB) | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She Dazzle | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Speed | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sonador | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shez Reckless | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elite Forces | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Elite Forces | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fit to Fly | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Departure | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Light | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gilcrease | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Conversing | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Uncle | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Equal Protection | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Qualified | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fayette Spirit | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fireball Fun | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pilkington | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sagittarius | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Get Ahead Now | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Raise High | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Western Moon | 50.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Auden | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Earl of Dassel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Provisional | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Utah Beach | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Crossing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Telephone Talker | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Huge Bigly | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Bariley | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Populist | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Khozan’s Success | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Code Runner | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swing Low | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Azure Sky | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Improbable Story | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dream Keeper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Midnight J J | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Accredit | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fuerteventura | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hozier | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz the Bomb | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Injunction | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beatbox | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ocean Atlantique | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Play Action Pass | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highestdistinction | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gray’s Fable | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Greyes Creek | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Dreams of Tomorrow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | English Tavern | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Goodie Goomer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Portfolio Company | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | King Vega (GB) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Plumeria | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Genetics | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enigmatic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cararra | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Remembering | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Arodeoqueen | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | America’s Vow | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Intricate | 4.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Amy Z | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arijana’s Pearl | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Prairie Gal | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cowgirl Charm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lookster | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Savannamarie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Foreseen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mother Freedom | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Sycamore S.) – Sycamore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Channel Maker | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Cellist | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Tawny Port | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Knight | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Channel Maker | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cellist | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highest Honors | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Therapist | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kitodan | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Limited Liability | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Another Mystery | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Act (IRE) | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shawdyshawdyshawdy | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Red Run | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Me and Mr. C | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Beacon Hill | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Britain’s Kitten | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Foreign Relations | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Dad | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nepotism | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Herd Immunity | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Emerald Express | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ready to Roll | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Leader of Men | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Palace Kitten | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Woke Up in Love | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jumpmaster | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Huey Attack | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.