Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Invincible |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
American Hope |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Eight Clap |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Teddy’s Triumph |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shear Magic |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Uncharted |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sir Maximus |
6.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stick Shift |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
El Rey Rey |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Citadino |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gold Foot |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
14 |
14 |
Sharpazano |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Final Boss |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Ario |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Casia |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Minedandrefined |
1.60 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mango Moon |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Oak Creek Gal |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ila Veiw Too |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zzyzx |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Hot Danzing |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Madison Rae |
1.80 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Signora Vittoria |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stay Zappy |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Miche Lada |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pura Vida |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Memorysinthepark |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Irish Patsy |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tiergarten |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Inner Beauty (IRE) |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Built Different |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zeyaraat |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Quickly Park It |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mucino |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mauna Kea Bound |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bad Sneakers |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mixto |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Thrust |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Excel Calculator |
2.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bring Him Home |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Zuma Beach S.) – Zuma Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Endlessly |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Endlessly |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
5 |
Grand Mo the First |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Boltage |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Ace of Clubs |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mici’s Express |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pour Dompter (FR) |
2.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ngannou |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Formidable Man |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
98 |
Rothschild |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Midnight Fury |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Princip |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hondo Crouch |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Houndstooth |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tiz Tok |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ze’bul |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Heartbreak Kid |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Keen Heir |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ghost of Midnight |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Storm the Night |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Surfer Girl S.) – Surfer Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Dreamfyre |
|
0 |
0-1 |
7 |
7 |
Angiolleta (IRE) |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dreamfyre |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flattery |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Buttercream Babe |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Where’s My Ring |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Putt for Dough |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Zona Verde (IRE) |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Soho |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sushi Sticks |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Loterie (IRE) |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Big Novel |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Diamonds Danzing |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stay and Scam |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lady Maryann |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wishtheyallcouldbe |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Class Clown |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shanghai Sunrise |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bold Choice |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Organic |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Seahawk Mary |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Aligato |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Seal Team (GB) |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Maltese Falcon (IRE) |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Reckless Spirit |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lottery Pick |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dominant Soul |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Soulmate |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Eastbound |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wodeton (FR) |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Phosphorescence (FR) |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lahaina Flavor |
12.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
14 |
14 |
Taishan |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Flashiest |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Shortman |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.