Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hey Boss | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Franco | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | G T Five Hundred | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mohaafeth | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chisholm Trail | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Navy Soul | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Missoula | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eyes of Gold | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stagflation | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gather | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rita’s Onthe Beach | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Lily Mae | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brewhouse | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slack Tide | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Choctaw Bingo | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love of My Heart | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Icy Stare Down | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arella Star | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Be Clear | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Collected Success | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Been Real Busy | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Choctaw Grace | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Collier | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lost Love | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twilight Sonata | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Above the Sun | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Road | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hidden Path | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Quest | 1.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crocodilehunter | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bal a Kazoo | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mounsieur Coco | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chiseler | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wico (IRE) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Antares | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seeking Unity | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Track Mate | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Battle | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Hush This | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cant Be Doin That | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Schoolmaster (GER) | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Again | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Runandscore | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Study Committee | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tunisian Spring | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Atlantic Dancer | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Citizen | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Give Him Time | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Microbeastie | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City of Love | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Halmstad | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Indian Summer S. Presented By Keeneland Select) – Indian Summer S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shards | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Sponge Bath | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bledsoe | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pinotslilgirl | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amidst Waves | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Committee of One | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fairhopecurly | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shards | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Riparound | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Candymaker | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cowes | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Juddmonte Spinster S.) – Juddmonte Spinster S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nest | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Nest | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Idiomatic | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Le Da Vida (CHI) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sixtythreecaliber | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bellamore | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Malloy | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Misty Veil | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Castle & Key Bourbon S.) – Castle & Key Bourbon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Noted | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Double Your Money | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nomos | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tok Tok | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vote No | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Palm Tree | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fortune Seller | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coin Miner | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Can Group | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Depiction | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | First World War | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gorilla Trek | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Tough Little Nut | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tireless | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Good Bali | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.