Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tooshay | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Negra Gata | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Tell Amy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Best Coast | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Grotte | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Be Best | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Graceful | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scherzer | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tooshay | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Gio Ponti S.) – Gio Ponti S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Appraise (IRE) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Invader | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | City Fever | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bat Flip | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ohana Honor | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Army Times | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mariah’s Fortune | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trade Secret | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Its Cold in Dehere | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suspended Campaign | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alpine Queen | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Linny Kate | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wait a Minute | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Game Theory | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vallarand | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Ashley T. Cole S.) – Ashley T. Cole S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spirit of St Louis | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Spirit of St Louis | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jerry the Nipper | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | City Man | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Un Ojo | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barrage | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kingdom On Paws | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Born Dancer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forced Ranking | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kunshan Bridge | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giroovin | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Venezuela | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Born a Gambler | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Law | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fight Fiercely | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Disappearance | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brooklyn Diamonds | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forward Move | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forwardly | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Empire Attraction | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aruba | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Into It | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Lucky Luke | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Regard | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carpe’s Dream | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ableton | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mama Banned Me | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Addicted to You | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Barrel of Quests | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Zapruder | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Billy’s Got Issues | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mister Abarrio | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Drum Roll Please | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Houlton | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hamilton’s Way | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unique Insight | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hunt Ball | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Enlighten | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Digital Ops | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trucker | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pentathlon | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spooky Lady | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maddie’s Grace | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Gaze | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Mia (FR) | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Latest Edition | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Linarite | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three Girls | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Bullet | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Try It Again | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Principled Stand (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eyes On Target | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maxwell Esquire | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Tide | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clear Vision | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Original | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Landbiscuit | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Klickitat | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nolo Contesto | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brazillionaire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Drake’s Passage | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paddington | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winters Lion | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Signator | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mistical Curlin | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Suerte | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Complete Agenda | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Quality Chic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Gotham Gray | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Butterfly | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dance With Me Babe | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mim | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mo Damorninggrouch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Unholy | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Follow the Fed | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stone of Destiny | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Galatrona | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dramatic Effect | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar and Speights | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Benevolently | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Purest Performance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jenny Waterbags | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Two Redheads | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ruler of the Night | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.