Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bigofromfresno | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Gianola | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ghostly Act | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Black as My Heart | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bigofromfresno | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Granny’s Ipa | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Torquewrench | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maxville | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Heat | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Venom | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sure Prospect | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big George | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Marcus | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Chrome to Riches | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Nothing Like You | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Where’s My Ring | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ur in Trouble | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Esprit Enchante | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Elegant | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sugar Fish | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Pacific Rose | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vegas Burner | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sea of Cortez (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Uncle Barry | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Petcoff | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Johnny Drama | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dr. Soulfire | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Living Life | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classical | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Distorted Math | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Neon Lights (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Zenyatta S.) – Zenyatta S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adare Manor | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Adare Manor | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Window Shopping | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Dawn | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Micro Share | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Unzip Me S.) – Unzip Me S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ruby Nell | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justique | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wide West (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free and Humble | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fast and Shiny | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alternate Rock | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Make It Snow | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lunar Impact (GB) | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wed (FR) | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Havana Angel (IRE) | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Tokyo City Cup S.) – Tokyo City Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Azul Coast | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Missed the Cut | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Order and Law | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss Today Goodbye | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Donner Lake | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (John Henry Turf Championship S.) – John Henry Turf Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gold Phoenix (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes This Time | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speaking Scout | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cash Equity (FR) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Masteroffoxhounds | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Offlee Naughty | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Planetario (BRZ) | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Balladeer | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bus Buzz | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Big Wam | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Will Be | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hard to Figure | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Positivity | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Father Delay | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Rod Rumble | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Navy Man | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saint Ives | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Redline | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bally’s Charm | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Carmelita’s Man | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Castle Leoch | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crosby Beach | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vantastic | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tio Magico | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Win the Day | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sarwar (FR) | 5.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eastern Ocean | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hurricane Cloud (GB) | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kid Azteca | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.