Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bustino Santino | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ky Thirty Won | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Okaloosa | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scaramanga | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Z Dancer | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Prince of Truth | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Vaunted | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scherzando | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whiskey and Wine | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Egyptian Quest | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Friday I’m in Love | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proud Alumnus | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Drake’s Passage | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paddington | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suerte | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mistical Curlin | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Signator | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Complete Agenda | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Souper Catch | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hammerin Aamer | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Quartet | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sprinklehead | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caerus | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dontbelate | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grumps Little Tots | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pit Boss | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hang Tight | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mount Travers | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Diamond Hands | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Expand the Map (IRE) | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swoop to Finish | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lisa’s Vision | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1A | 11 | Portage | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She Caught My Eye | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alluring Angel (GB) | 3.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Dame | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Poet’s Woods | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Theodora Grace | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cupid’s Heart | 1.60 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Ashley T. Cole S.) – Ashley T. Cole S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Born Dancer | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit of St Louis | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jerry the Nipper | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | City Man | 1.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barrage | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Un Ojo | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bankit | 1.80 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kingdom On Paws | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Enlighten | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Player | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hunt Ball | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Drum Roll Please | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hamilton’s Way | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unique Insight | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Houlton | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Digital Ops | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Plate | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pentathlon | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mariah’s Fortune | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suspended Campaign | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trade Secret | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vallarand | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Linny Kate | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Its Cold in Dehere | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alpine Queen | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Game Theory | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wait a Minute | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Synonymous | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Ortus | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Majestic Johnson | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 15 | 16 | Newport Bridge | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Icy Flavor | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1A | 14 | City Mischief | 1.80 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Image of Quality | 1.80 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kreesa | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Factually Correct | 10.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Empire Sky | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Courageoous Oh La | 10.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Veterans Beach | 12.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ten Cent Town | 12.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dreampoint | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 14 | 15 | Always Charming | 3.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 |
| 3 | 2 | The Cobbler | 30.00 | 15.4 | 29-1 |
| 5 | 4 | War Smoke | 8.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Obrigada | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’mhavingamoment | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mongolian Panther | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Azteca | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | White Chocolate | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sa Foradada | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Security Code | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Adeliese’s Smile | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vallelujah | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Noble Damsel S.) – Noble Damsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fluffy Socks | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Carol Ann (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gina Romantica | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malavath (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not So Close | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Movie Moxy | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gerrymander | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Venti Valentine | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunset Louise | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Eddie | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Remember the Name | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twentyeighttothree | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crown That Saint | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rudy Rudy Rudy | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Badlands Ruler | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guanare | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Always Dialed | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy Luke | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winwood | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.