Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Simply Wicked | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royally | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forevamo | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thundershook | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drifting West | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tio Blas | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tashkent | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Resolve Now | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Pure Malice | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grace’s Hank | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hexcel | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Special Memory | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J G Jett | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Dawn | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fully Funded | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Greydini | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Walt | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Illustrator | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sea Level | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Poet Laureate | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Watch This Munny | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Ninja | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Black Coffee Buzz | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Im the Bigger Bear | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Its My Money Too | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Shezapistol | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leopard Bait | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Girls Got Game | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hooray for Credit | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cinnamon Face | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mylittlewiskeygirl | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Bileve | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gold Makin Girl | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deb’s Blessing | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Azusa Street | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Val E Girl | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yankees Miracles | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Northwind | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Commander Rex | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ryan Express | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Binding Heart | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moro Trendsetter | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Creek | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clinton Quarintino | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Okie Front | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stan’s Golden Path | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Melody Rose | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cupids Love | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Here and Vow | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hope and a Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Eakly | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pepper Jack | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Federal Hill | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mint | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tungsten | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Livingston | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wilton | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pando | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Del Moon | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rail Town | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Super Wonder Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Almost Dialed Out | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty Brew | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rosy Edge | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Becky’s Tattoo | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sure Shot Shelly | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dixiefied | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Conflicting Tales | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.