Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 27, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Paradise Pride 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Greyzer 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Fierce Warrior 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 El Hermano 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Ahsad 4.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Colonel Moorhead 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 King Cairo 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Musical Cat 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Chloe Rose 6.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Chica Rabiosa 2.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Heleonortiz 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Moniques Daredevil 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Chalk Hill 10.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Caged Pixie 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Canoochee 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Blind Sight 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cloud Music 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Massimo 3.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Raise the Rent 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Street Hustle 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Cajun Dream 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Brother Showtyme 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Motivating 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mainline 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Above the Limit 2.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Golden Tabby 1.20 2.5 5-1
11 11 Beach House 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Awesome View 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Awesome Pic 5.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Expect Ours 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Shania Sea 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Insightful 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Protomagic 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Akemi 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Just Great 1.50 1 2-1
5 5 Old Bay 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Super Fabulous 12.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Lucky Cougar 15.00 2 4-1
6 6 Mainstream Sellout 12.00 2 4-1
1 1 Lubu 10.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Still Game 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Boh’s N O’s 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Designer 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Dwelling Legacy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Coronova 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Husband Material 2.00 1.5 3-1
14 14 Grandpa’s Kid 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Warrior’s Vendetta 20.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Stellwagen Banker 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Sidney’s Bid 8.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Bushwick Bruiser 20.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Stonecoldwarrior 20.00 9.3 18-1
8 8 Andrez Conquist 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Crazy Odds 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Last Second Louie 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rollercoaster Man 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Hexagon 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Prophets Voice (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Give It a Whirl 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Copper Tax 1.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Speedyness 5.00 3 6-1
9 9 Mon Gateau 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Yahoo Omar 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Finicky 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Sharp Tones 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Thunder Lad 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Optical Bijou 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Providing 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Memories Eternal 15.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Rain of Blessing 3.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Peace Pact 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Sk’s Heart 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Lady Amanda 20.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Home Town Fav 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Unfettered Diva 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 April’s Gold 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.