Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nancy Spain | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flitter | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Around Slew | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cushee | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bondiva | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champlain’s Dream | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Crystal | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lady Ensign | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Army Brat | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Momentous Miss | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Matty Bo | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Carolina Sun | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meetmeatthebeach | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reveille Song | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mail Call | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Snow Loves a Fight | 2.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Moonshining | 3.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Police Woman | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Lancer | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tator Made | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Passage of Lines | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dolice Vita | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shady Munni | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bob Marco | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Youngest of Five | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Plot the Dots | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Malibu | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kasimba | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sig | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Traveler | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rockingham Joe | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Express | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dyna Blast | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Windsor Park | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rector | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Surprise Hello | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fire and Knives | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Volpe | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King’s River | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pure Realization | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskeyinthejaro | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gallant Ruler | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eric’s Gift | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thename of Thegame | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dashing d’Artagnan | 4.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dialed in a Panic | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pounding Music | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heartburn | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Daisy Bee | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Please Marry Me | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kit Can Run | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gogo Chanel | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maria’s Honor | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missawlet | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jackson’s Dixie | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Lola Flo | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Mosalah | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Choice | 6.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Wine Time | 4.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Reyna de Verano | 50.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Misquillo | 30.00 | 15.4 | 29-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Racing Colors | 10.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Under the Overpass | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tocayo | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coringa | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full Proof | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bomb Cyclone | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Play Harder | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | In the Dance | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Simon’s Choice | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nancy Made My Day | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Albert Finnigan | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Lucky Ace | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Square Slice | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Cali Heat | 10.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Langlee Avenue | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond the Pale | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Accelerate | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | T Rex | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Consultant | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Dear Santa | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jolly by Golly | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Electrostatic | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Value | 1.40 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sorolla | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Stormy Fire | 50.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Winters Lion | 5.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Home School | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Mad | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mission Man | 4.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Elusive Edge | 3.50 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Saddle Up Jessie | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Opus Forty Two | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Continentalcongres | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charmed Way | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cover the Spread | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Haint Blue | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Can Run | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fool Yourself | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dry Well | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nami | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Graceful Union | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marley’s Ghost | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Queen Rocket | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bessie Blue | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Apple Shake Shake | 2.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imaginetheodds | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time Goes Fast | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Connie’s Dance | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Abby’s Lucky Girl | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Virologist | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Catch the Kitten | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happyinitiative | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.