Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 23, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Badbadbobby 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Stealththirtyfour 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Courageous Copper 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 On Jet Heir 15.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Papa Katz 15.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Acamar 2.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Tejota 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Big Balloons 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Midnight Chaos 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Goats On a Tree 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Bonmati 5.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Singing Sandra 12.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Fumblerooski 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Hermosa Mujer 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 My Blessing 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Are You Single 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Teshima 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Always Connected 20.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Far Above 4.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Bullet Valentina 20.00 3 6-1
1 1 Eskimo Street 3.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Thank the Academy 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Song and Tap 8.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Overrun 30.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Mystical Lady 30.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Huge G 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 The Distractor 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Rough Entry 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Mister Kelly 10.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Sir Ollie 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Gangly 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Rare Jewel 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Doc Amster 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Amor Y Control 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Eilat 12.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Into Touring 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Shez Speightful 1.80 4 8-1
10 10 Tovia 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Macassa 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Extra Indy 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Val’s Gal 10.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Ginrin 30.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Rigby 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Rough Enough 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Starship Renegade 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Big and Classy 1.60 1.3 2-1
3 3 Avant Glory 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Warrior’s Pride 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Zydeceaux 15.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Cajun’s Magic 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Big Daddy Dave 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Saint No More 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kinsman Redeemer 20.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 He’s a Commisioner 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Salvattore Prince 3.50 4 8-1
4 4 Cadron Settlement 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Stellar Dream 12.00 5 10-1
8 8 Awe Sumsunfun 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Lace Up 8.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Vinsanity 30.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Red Roadster 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flying Black 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Demogorgon 5.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Lucky Peridot 3.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Starship Agenda 2.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Love Her Lots 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Hihellohowareyou 4.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Maria’s Revenge 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cashier Check 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Stride 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Uno Tiger 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 You Talkin to Me 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Sigrun Fast Boy 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Kartano 2.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Ambor Night 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Space Runner 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Loco Abarrio 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Desert Ruler 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 X Y Point 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sensei Lawrence 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Maptitude 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Rod Two Rod 4.50 5.9 11-1
6 6 Pure Speight 8.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Awesome Flay 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Straight Shot 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Uranium 2.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Barone Cesco 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Elusive Mischief 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Unprecedented 15.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Almashriq 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Forty Flash 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Skipperini 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Thenorthremembers 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.