Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 22, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fluffy 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Wonderfulvenezuela 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Naughty Favors 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Baby Sassicaia 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Sonadora Girl 4.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Refugiada 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Smart Jenny 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Dukes Gonna Tapit 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 French Franc (FR) 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Anotherdaygoneby 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Crystal Coast 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Domineering 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Morning Colors 2.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Money Factor 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Rubysa 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 La Rusia 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 One Fast Dream 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Motown Punk 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Corporate Affair 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Uncaptured Boy 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Bestial 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Cantaro 5.00 5 9-1
6 6 All Points Made 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Alex’s Strike 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Royal Kitten 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Sarawat 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Here Comes Bullet 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 He’s in Charge 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Lee Ann’s Warrior 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Kuhl Star 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Sir Kahn 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Elissa Joe 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Romashka 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Breaking Bullet 4.50 2 4-1
9 9 Hydria 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 Empire Girl 20.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Samurai’sdon’tcry 30.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Top Look 4.50 5 9-1
5 5 Desert Diva 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Free Cristina 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lovely Drama 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tearduc 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Avellino 15.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 R Harper Rose 1.40 2.2 4-1
2 2 She Has Class 30.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Fay’s Rhonda Cares 3.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Star of Saturn 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Demar’s Legacy 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Omaha Girl 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Loveys Embrace 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Isayso 15.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Bubbly Champagne 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Get Ready Gal 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Spanish Girl 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Windrush 5.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Danneel 20.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Lucy’s Cookie 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Party Shaker 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Mrs 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Rastani 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Adios Baby 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Atomically 1.20 3.5 7-1
3 3 Double Cosmo Girl 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Just Mercy 30.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Jellicle Katz 30.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Starship Aurora 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Magicshadow 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Diamond Messa 15.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Exclusive Dancer 3.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Atomico 4.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 First Coast Storm 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Summer Storm Stric 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Cheer Coach 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Ekati King 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.