Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shes a Secret | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Goldblooded | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shes a Secret | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Social Mandate | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tamara’s Way | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dogwoodsmilliejane | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Carol | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oath of Allegiance | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dooblay | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wreck It Ruby | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Puckered | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Choctaw Grace | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Espere | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jayce and Liam | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Autism Compassion | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rose Darling | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scarlet Miss | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Coastal Defense | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Master Game | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Treaty | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Long Crow | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sant’ Antimo | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Navy Cross | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Gusto | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Booster Shot | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Brother Keith | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Creative Way | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gordy’s Label | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solevo | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honor Gold | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spuns Son | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scotch No Rocks | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Generation | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Stormquist | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notorious Sixohtwo | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jackson D | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Debt Paid | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waldrip | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | East From West | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vino Fa Danza | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wecallemfuncoupons | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Redheadedstranger | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wauhatchie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beauxs Artes | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Gal | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mean Sue | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ball Gown | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wiki Lio | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Kick | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mended We Stand | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Blue Valentine | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer of Mischief | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shimmer Me Timbers | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coppola | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bodenheimer | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kavod | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vulcan | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Johnny Unleashed | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blue Light | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Briterdayzahead | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lark’s Mischief | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Mischief | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Two Eagles River | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bromley | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Major Blue | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Retained | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Olazabal | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Release McCraken | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Elite Forces | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cortese | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Shimmering Allure | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Despo’s Dream | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Promisemeanempire | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Up On the Edge | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Del Mar | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Naughty Miss | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wee Bit O Mischief | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Star Doctor | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indy Label | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chiquita Reina | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lost Love | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sterling Luck | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.