Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Moonlit Mischief 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Super Annie 12.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Con Seal and Kerry 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Sorbet 3.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Class Clown 2.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Bad Cardinal 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Colonel Vargo 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Too Much Info 5.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Strength of Autism 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Acquired Class 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Otro Mas 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 San Jac 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Rainbow 1.20 SCRATCH
4 4 Dorie Miller 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Josie Earp 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Fifty Stars 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Pura Vida 3.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 Lovme Likeafool 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 American Heights 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Shared Future 1.80 2.5 5-1
1 1 On Purpose 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Professors’ Pride 1.60 3.1 6-1
3 3 Classymademoiselle 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Sugar Sugar 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Around the Dial 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Big Cheddar 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Perfecto Amor 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Whoa Buddy 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Divinely Diverse 20.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Boomer Justice 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Brutto 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 L L L Cool 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Donttestyourluck 1.80 1.5 3-1
5 5 Whiskey Vision 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Confucius 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Pat Can’t Count 10.00 5 10-1
4 4 Non Toxic 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 King Heat 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jack Sixpack 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Resilient 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Kingdom Heart 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Smuggler’s Run 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Ambivalent 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Vancougar 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Cool Papa G 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Relaxed Artist (IRE) 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tangledupingrey 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Spiritist 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Thirsty 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Hey Batman 10.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Hot Memories 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Aberdeen’s Knight 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Rippin’ Ruis (AUS) 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Cathedral Light 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Los Alamitos Special S.) – Los Alamitos Special S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Arham 2.00 1 2-1
4 3 It’s My House 4.00 1.1 2-1
5 4 American Admiral 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Salesman (IRE) 4.00 3 6-1
6 5 Handy Dandy 3.00 SCRATCH
3 98 Celestial Moon 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.