Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 She’s Peachy Keen 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Freccia d’Argento 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Awesome Pic 1.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 I Love You 2.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Champagne Toast 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Striking Chrome 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Must Be Love 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Capt. Candy 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Touchdown Montage 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Alpha Whiskey 1.80 5.1 10-1
5 5 Bright Forecast 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Brother Showtyme 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Discreet Devil 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Barfly 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Ventilator 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Foe 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Takeover Kash 4.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Mo Eh Hennessy 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Elusive Image 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Casino Tricks 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Court Contender 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Flashy Fig (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Substantial 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Miracle Silver 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Mississippi 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Mister Winston 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Curlin’s Thrill 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Ghostinyou 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Political 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Jasontakeslong 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Coronova 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Bointheback 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Stellwagen Banker 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Carico 8.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Out of Towner 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Tucker Road 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Andrez Conquist 20.00 6.9 13-1
13 13 Kitten’s Clown 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Makoto 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Silver R 20.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Sidney’s Bid 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sir Lumpalot 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sigmund 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Prophets Voice (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Brother Brad 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Stacks of Silver 3.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 My Danny Boy 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Speargun 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Mystery Mo 1.80 5 9-1
3 3 Fole’s Notion 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Cape Henlopen S.) – Cape Henlopen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tawny Port 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Tough Tickets 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Urban Myth 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Cross Border 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Tee At One 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Beacon Hill 3.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Commandeer 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Praline’s Cat 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Serifos 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sports Editor 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bermondsey 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Screen Saver 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Mundo Mix 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Forloveofcountry 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Doin’ittherightway 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Night Ops 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Ahsad 3.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.