Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almond Fudge | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Butterfly Queen | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Scaloneta | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Claudette | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty Tale | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Queen Lexi | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mysidehustle | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Princess Is Olivia | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Krickle | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Accommodate Eva | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classy’n Connected | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Almond Fudge | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo for Us | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Skippy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fayette Spirit | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clyde’s Got a Gun | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz the Coast | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cairo’s Ghost | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Pride | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Real Naughty | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Archie the Giza | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Single Dot Yaht | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our Keepsake | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Plagne Champagne | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Life Advice | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adrasteia | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pin Up Betty | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cleopatra Selene | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mystical Chant | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mischievousness | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Keepsake | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Violet | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Nandina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Queen Lexi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Renfrew | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Managing Mischief | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Austin Traffic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Almostgone Rocket | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | I Am Beautiful | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Louisville Thoroughbred Society S.) – Louisville Thoroughbred Society S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necker Island | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Bango | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Strobe | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bango | 1.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gulfstream Way | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Aaron | 30.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Necker Island | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Bear | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Magnificent Mile | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Debate | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Attache | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Hammer | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Underhill’s Tab | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gunner Bay | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stand for Freedom | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Funny Uncle | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Open Mind S.) – Open Mind S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Halo | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yuugiri | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fire On Time | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Than Vows | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Hero | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Rings | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Pocahontas S.) – Pocahontas S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Regal Rumor | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Riperton | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Youalmosthadme | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Courbe | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Beach | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | V V’s Dream | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empire Island | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Raining Sugar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Peignoir | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Musical Score | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Watch This Birdie | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Storm Bay | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Empirical View | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Grace Darling (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hay Stack | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Always At Ease | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ziggzappa | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zapple | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spicy Italian | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mytown Myrules | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Callie’s Passion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Varmlander | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Amber Cascade | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Star Wisher | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Iroquois S.) – Iroquois S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Risk It | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | West Saratoga | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Market Street | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Patriot Spirit | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Edified | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Union Roll | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liberal Arts | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seize the Grey | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gettysburg Address | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Locust Grove S.) – Locust Grove S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Search Results | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Falconet | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Le Da Vida (CHI) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pauline’s Pearl | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Mo Reay | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Connection | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Misty Veil | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fannie and Freddie | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul of an Angel | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Music Street | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Royal Take Charge | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Intricate | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Regulatory Risk | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aldora | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | West Sunset | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clear Voice | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lilms Constitution | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caberneigh | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bang Bang Fury | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irina’s Charm | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Gal of Mine | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | High Shot | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Mia Marcela | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dazzlin’ Dictator | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Baby Avery | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Runway Lights | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Idalou | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.