Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Private Desire | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane Nelson | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Commander of Truth | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bounteous | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heartened | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Private Desire | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hedge the Risk | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ignite the Light | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Victorious Wave | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kool Kathmandu | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ocean’s Reserve | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leddy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Capone | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bezos | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Gray Leonard | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vanished | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | African Waters | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Princess | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rhiannon | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pippi Longstocking | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Akayla (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Our Hero | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rayya Valentine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Bustin Shout | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Poppy’s Pride | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Air Show | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Prince James | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Quickflash | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flamingo Hawk | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Winning Drive | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Never Early | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Joker Boy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Scramble | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ramblin’ Wreck | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Spirit | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hold the Salsa | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catch That Party | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bee Major | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cyber Ninja | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Laurel Valley | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paddington | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ever So Sweet (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mayfly | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mitole Magic | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Way to Be Marie | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Villi Olento | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Say It | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Agra | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Progeny | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Picasita | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Natural Fact | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | American Law | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kunshan Bridge | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ride Up | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arrebato | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior Richard | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skylander | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thunderian | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Memphis | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 10 | Durante | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | King Angelo | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vittorio | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jake Rocks | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Forest | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Twenty Four Mamba | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seven Nation Army | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tops the Chart | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shivaree | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Castle Chaos | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Nolo Contesto | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Fasig-tipton Jockey Club Oaks Invitational S.) – Fasig-tipton Jockey Club Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Highland Grace | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last Call | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quarrel | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eternal Hope (IRE) | 1.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neecie Marie | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speirling Beag (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stephanie’s Charm | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nadowessi (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daisy’s Angel | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Into Stars | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | That’sthefactjack | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beets | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Archivist | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rosie Jeeks | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap the Keg | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King’s Daughter | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Street View | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Value Area | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.