Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Solomons Gold 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Carolina Traffic 4.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Nico’s Having Fun 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Great Kostas 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Doc Ballard 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Tapit’s Direction 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Geothermal 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Let’s Go Philly 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Lets Go Koko 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Time Miss 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Nunofthisnunofthat 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Kiki 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Bahamian Baby 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Future Fortune 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Astral Weeks 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Dream of Blessings 1.40 1.4 3-1
2 2 Leopardi 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Super Curioso (ARG) 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Nature Boy 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Federal Exchange 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Texas Air Force 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Praiseworthy 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 No Problem Joe 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 El Principito 20.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Galipan 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 We Got This 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Full Nelson 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fly the W 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Xy Time 15.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Swashbuckle 20.00 3 6-1
1 1 The Best Distance 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Warp Speed Baby 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Make Decisions 5.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Wind Ninety Nine 4.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Rock the Stars 8.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Chess’s Dream 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reminder 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Freedom Principle 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Papalote 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Grand Tower 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Summer Storm Stric 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Revelatory 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Corruption 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Mrs 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Gitana 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Fawning 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Gunesh 4.50 4 8-1
5 5 Anatomy 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Mistica Traviesa (CHI) 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Zosterop 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sterling Harmony 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Starship Wizard 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Chaina 10.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Lord Eddard Stark 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Street Glide 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 The Mar 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Captain Anthony 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Awesome Crusader 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.