Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Endless Romance | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mission Belle | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simona’s Choice | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Con Suerte | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kimbell’s Strategy | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Street Tapper | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hal’s Dream | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Why Texas Why | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Professional Grade | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Saints | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Windy O K C | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Bbq | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Race for Dough | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take Point | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quail | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wranglered | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hit One Out | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Baker | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tag Me | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Cornerstone | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hunter Quick | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pop’s Biscuit | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sedaris | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grami’s Boy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shell Shocker | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Breeze | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Euro Tracking | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lock Up Your Pets | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grayghostgranville | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dude Perfecta | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major Griffin | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | You Have No Idea | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aztec City | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Super Cindy | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pascala | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Four Point Oh | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Butterfly | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maywon | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sayed in a Dream | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruby Ransom | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamonds R Forever | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Golden Rebal | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Team Gormley | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Isaidwhatisaid | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smokey Story | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Media Mogul | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stasis | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Smooch | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Patsy R | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rue Lala | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frosty Brew | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kelley Said Ready | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conflicting Tales | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Bisonette | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Do You Bileve | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mohaylady | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Springs Bling | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Anna’s Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Crooked Fellow | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cosmic Soul | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shadowless | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Send the Boss | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Russian Tank | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Special Moment | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Union Data | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rantheredlight | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Wave James | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Brucelea | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Parking Lot | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pay Raise | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rhino Runner | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wish Man | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Unbridled Bling | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clamorous Bling | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Late Night Cruiser | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twirling Troillet | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Upturned Brim | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Go Mesa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.