Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Farrah | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Much Aloha | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valley Verde | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Expect Candy | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Girl With Attitude | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mendi’s Girl | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Copelander | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Johnboys Jenny | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Simply Wicked | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Promise | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rare Stripe | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pinky Ring Bling | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Afleet Sniper | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caddo Fox | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Pride | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | J B’s Legacy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quarterback Dak | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Declined | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stans Home Run | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Box Seat | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hamazing Wisdom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Under the Gun | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Don’task Don’ttell | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catholic Guilt | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truly Danzig | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sniveling | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Newport Beach | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ted | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unrestricted | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thundershook | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Curlin’s Magic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speak Softly | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Practical | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Montana’s Angel | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flyin Withthe Boss | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Grinnin | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Primer Dimer | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tio Blas | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Country | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kiss Principal | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Account | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s Pretty Lucky | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Resolve Now | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Malibu S S | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uptown Hustler | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gozilla | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alvaaro | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grapnel | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hunny Hush | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Judge’s Bribe | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Summerbird | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tipsy Gal | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Templar Red | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Smile | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’sskysthelimit | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Family Time | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Morning Snow | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bricktown Brown | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Boy Goes | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brew Crew | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sr. Bi Bi | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Robert Who | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | March West | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver and Aces | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.