Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Finicky | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Armed and Ready | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All the Way | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drinkin N Dreaming | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dubai Fire | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eddie Felson | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free Drop Bach | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gwynedd | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lunita | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Get a Grip Marilyn | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bodacious Bren | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Expect a Circus | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ruby Dooby Doo | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Arch Street | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Get Ready Gal | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Contessa’s Song | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arijana’s Pearl | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iron Pyrite | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rogue River | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amirati | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prove My Love | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Steps | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cora Pearl | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Above the Limit | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Castilleja | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Zeta | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Touisset | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alexis’s Storm | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tipsy Girl | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jess’s Gypsy Girl | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Penny Polka | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mystic Malibu | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Drilling for Gold | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Favorite Haunt | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devine Flameaway | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Willy D’s | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hoya | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Derbyness | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Reproach | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catalina Kid | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fast Breakin Cash | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Moon | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lease | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Man Vito | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Polterer | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deep Faith | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Roaring River | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Night Ops | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lifespan | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Melina’s Dream | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Friend Linus | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Darnley | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.