Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miss Jessita 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ts Lil Cash 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Famous Jeanscarnitas 2.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Ts Attack the End 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Rm Crushonivory 4.00 5 9-1
2 2 Casanovas Racy Miss 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Famous Coronado 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Heza Spirited Ace 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Mr Kool Rancherita 4.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Our Soldier Boy 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Bhr Light My Spark 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Ts Wave as I Fly Bye 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Mighty Cute 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ale D Capi 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Str Forged in Fire 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Bully Lips 2.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Freddy Separate 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Cuervo On Rocks 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Ts I Was a Rock Star 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Moons Stone 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Cowgirls Junior Bug 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Heritage Park 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Classic Bet 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Ourbestfriend D L 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Tizhotndusty 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Name the Price 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Tough Company 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kyandi 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Machinegunpreacher 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Daryl’s Bolt 2.50 4 7-1
1 1 Husker Butch 3.00 5 9-1
3 3 Itwasthisbig 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Fake Solution 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Charming Charlie 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ocean Ride 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Livingontulsatime 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Heza Wild Ride 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Barstow 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Chicago Chrome 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Cool Catomine 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Littlemore Ta Kela 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Franklygreat 3.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Tap On By 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Lets Rock N Stroll 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Wilder’s Wizard 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Nineteen Hundred 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Tactical Rebel 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Prized Tap 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Opposition 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Star of Mine 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Twirling Chief 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Lurch 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Pure Crystal 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 One Last Chant 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Sole Survivor 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 One Sock Billy 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Miss Peach 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Just Like Trista 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Kayla 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Angel’s Melody 1.60 4.5 9-1
3 3 Kela’s Turn 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kid Biz 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Rudy Tooty 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Reba 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Lulus Flight Boots 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Happy Stroll 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Good N Lucky 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Catale 20.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 American Sue 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Farrah Fowler 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.