Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holiday Pay | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Saint No More | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Pay | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amaranto | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Self Sufficient | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ekati King | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kinsman Redeemer | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s a Commisioner | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Guanare | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Keanu | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | North Carolina | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frosty the Soldier | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Green Millennium | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluto’s Candy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ambushed | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pluma Roja | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Resonancia | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Parchita | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Track Mine | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Antrim | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Krabi | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Martini’s Amica | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ylang Ylang | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pasajera | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Skyhooper | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | How Surprising | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Belts ‘n Brooks | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fifty One Fifty | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Hooh | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arte de Guerra | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Top Maverick | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Skipper Too | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big and Classy | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Long Range Toddy | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand David | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spankster | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mutaawid | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Streaking Grey | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Khosea | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Breeze | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Short Circuit | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oaxaca | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Radiant Gem | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winning At Ease | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Knox | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miles of Smiles | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | First Team | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream of Blessings | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nowitzki | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smokin Bow | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trululu | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Big Bucksalot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beach Ready | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Graytana | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eilat | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Val’s Gal | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mama Strong | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ave Fenix | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Imahonkytonkgirl | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Damaso | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hunter | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slim Slow Slider | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sensei Lawrence | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fivefive Six Champ | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Eclipse | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wall Street Trader | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Flay | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rod Two Rod | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | A J’s Memory | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Rissa | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fortunata | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mystical Lady | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eskimo Street | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Always Connected | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Drama | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bullet Valentina | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Pippa | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Subtle Senorita | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.