Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Brazen Bull | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missing Them | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fordy G | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cupid’s Crusader | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Way | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | South Coast Route | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rocky Champs | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Castleknock | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soul of Midnight | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Devil Moon | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tigerhon (FR) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rolling On | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Belmont Bill | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Rhythm | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Disrespectful | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Jam Session | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pequena Tormenta | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul of a Warrior | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slam Diego | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Solid Tune | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Taylor | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gray Frost | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lov U Mean It | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Back On the Street | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roman Empress | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Everlys Girl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mirahmadi | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sense | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Rain | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flight Way | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bigredsandribeyes | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Point Dume | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mary’s Boy Bolt | 50.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Mark | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Potential Spam | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pride of the Nile | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cashing Big Checks | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arina (GER) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Lass | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kitty Kitana (GB) | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gracelund Gray | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ladywearsthering | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella D | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Man Bags | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Positivity | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cyberviking | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disco Ball | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paco’s Pico | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colt Fiction | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiger Dad | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quick Finish | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bright Leaf | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Houndstooth | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Reg | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quintecents | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Collect Dis Money | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Johnny Drama | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Harry’s Onthefly | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bad Uncle Barry | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Antonsen | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Petcoff | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Living Life | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thrust | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Venom | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 98 | Distorted Math | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Grand Tiger | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Classical | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mobe Town | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Principe Carlo | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kingdom Heart | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desmond Doss | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nabokov | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Good With People | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arham | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Escape Route | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Howbeit | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Speed Lane | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yerwanthere (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lakota Spirit | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aloha Kitten | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Rhapsody (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gimme Mo Baby | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shocking Grey | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ankyrah | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Linda’s Gift | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Pat O’brien S.) – Pat O’brien S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spirit of Makena | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brickyard Ride | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moose Mitchell | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Anarchist | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hoist the Gold | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Atticus | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vivir Con Alegria (CHI) | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | C Z Rocket | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Joe Won | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bye Bye Bobby | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Visitant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nobel Gary | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St Ignacio | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Russells Hustle | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rahm | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Admiral Halsey | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Times | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crypto Man | 2.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stormin Midnight | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Churchmeister | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gaelic Nation (IRE) | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.