Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dont Fight the Fed | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gianola | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ship and Scam | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coppertunity | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Logon to Win | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chippewa Bud | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Torquewrench | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Take Caramie | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sahara Sue | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yaleo | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grazen Touch | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Class Clown | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sing a Happy Song | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Lake | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Perkins | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Bar Gal | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rhyme Or Reason | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Satoshi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | California Diva | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thirty Four Coupe | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Hat Willie | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Telos | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cardiff Crack | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquering King | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dual Threat | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Andreadytorumble | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Teddy’s Triumph | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Eight Clap | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Uncharted | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stick Shift | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gold Foot | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Charge for Gold | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wild Recruit | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pharoahs List | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Rastaman Vibe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Slider | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 98 | Lawless World | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wrong Turn Cupid | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Reign Song | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Careless Star | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Joy | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shvere Arbeter | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shout It Out | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jasmine Chieftain | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beef Winslow | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Giovinazzo | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lansdowne (GB) | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Derecho Dandy | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Numero Dix (GB) | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Overrule | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chiefs Blanket | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Aurelian Man | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Victory | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Reid | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pleasant | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Prayer | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Essential Business | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Signora Minister | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indy’s Star | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jensco | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vitalera (CHI) | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Glandford (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Track and Field | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Head Lad | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Invincible | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bear River | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Uplift | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Masters Sunday | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Boltage | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gorilla Boy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Details Matter | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 98 | Osage Creek | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Just a Guess | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 12 | Ambiguous | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 98 | Mary’s Boy Bolt | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.