Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | King Heat | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fordy G | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brazen Bull | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Missing Them | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cupid’s Crusader | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Way | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen P | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Anybody’s Choice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Sis Little Sis | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Paloma Blanca | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Runa | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kikilove | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. T’s Thirsty | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Silver Oak | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Comradery (IRE) | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Never Seen Before (IRE) | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jacks Outlaw | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Juju | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One Fast Bro | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ishihara | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | No Slo Mo | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grape Nuts Warrior | 3.50 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indy Lyon | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Concerto | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fact Or Fiction | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Handsome Harry | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Havoc | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thirsty Thursday | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Facts | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kiss for Lulu | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Halo Uncle | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thirsty Moe | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lord Bullingdon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Uplift | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 5 | American Flyer | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Boltage | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gorilla Boy | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bear River | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Head Lad | 5.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 11 | Invincible | 3.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 12 | Masters Sunday | 5.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Mary’s Boy Bolt | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 98 | Mirahmadi | 0.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 14 | 13 | Osage Creek | 6.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 11 | 10 | Just a Guess | 8.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Glandford (GB) | 4.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wynstock | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ultra Power | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Magnifico | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rothschild | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kamaina Cruiser | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indispensable | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guy Named Joe | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Solana Beach S.) – Solana Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rose Maddox | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimate Hy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glorious Spring | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eddie’s New Dream | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunshine Babe | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madiha | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Colt Fiction | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Houndstooth | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Escape Route | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Positivity | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Disco Ball | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Finish | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paco’s Pico | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Luka Grazie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Chippewa Bud | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Maxville | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Silver N Black | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 10 | Silent Heat | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Get the Gold | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Dont Fight the Fed | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 11 | Dark Marcus | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Boy Charlemagne | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 12 | Aviator Nation | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Sure Prospect | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 13 | Bigofromfresno | 12.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Big George | 20.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 98 | Montepulciano | 0.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.