Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 19, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miss Ivory Jane 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jess Southard 2.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Jk Catch the Spirit 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Raci B 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Fancy Dreams Bc 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Hey Soul Sistr 6.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Rtm Belle 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Iowa Stallion Derby) – Iowa Stallion Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Famous Jeanscarnitas 0 0-1
7 7 Lil Racy Blu 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Badrapidfastcat 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 My Valiants Fire 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Famous Jeanscarnitas 4.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 Ts My Wife Says Sell 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Going Up the Country 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Trs Amazing Alana 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Ts Exit With a Win 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Fo Risentoorun 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (John Deere Prairie Meadows Juvenile Challenge S.) – John Deere Prairie Meadows Juvenile Challenge S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sheza Famous Candy 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jess Folzookieing 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 I Know the Cowboy 5.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Kynetic 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Mr Tread Lightly 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Ungawa 4.50 7.4 14-1
3 3 Nsm Sugars Cartel 3.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Risin Cowboy 20.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Apollitical Love 12.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Slippery Ann 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 She’s a Big Star 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Social Circle 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Long Monday 1.20 1.7 3-1
1 1 Sweet Dynasty 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Shelby To 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Revenir 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Twirling Chief 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Brilliant Colors 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Apollo Bay 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Ginger Rules 1.60 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Uncle Chad 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Giant Gamble 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Mr. Solo 10.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 It’s All About Joe 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Shut Up Man 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Scrutinizer 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Graves Mill Road 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Buzzer 1.80 1.4 3-1
4 4 Davidic Line 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Broadway Pete 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Americain Joey 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Ocean Ride 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wild Appeal 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Hallow Point 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Speedbayou 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Skyflyer 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Meet George Jetson 3.50 4.5 8-1
4 4 Dodger Blue 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 C P Three 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Star of Mine 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 One Last Chant 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Billy Bob Rocket 3.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Frankly Epic 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Acceleritas 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Lurch 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Sole Survivor 15.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 One Sock Billy 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Day Money 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Smart N Intuitive 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Succession 6.00 3 6-1
11 11 Big Pines Sandy 20.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Whiskey Wednesday 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Woke Up in Love 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 John R 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mahomes 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Warrior’s Run 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Evil Knievel 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lucky Ain’t Enough 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Gold Tapper 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.