Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cledon 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Love This Heart 2.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Flynabovethestorm 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Jess a Lil Bit Hero 3.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 To Catch a Dynasty 3.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Puts N the Work 6.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Two Four Going Hot 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Prairie Meadows Derby Challenge S.) – Prairie Meadows Derby Challenge S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 A Legacy of Tales 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mrs Kvn 3.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Curls Patti Wagon 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Five Bar Signs 5.00 4 8-1
9 9 Water Or Corona 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 One Sweet Fdd 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Where Theres Sumoke 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Always Interesting 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Reloaded With Corona 15.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Bluemoon Arising 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Iowa Stallion Qh Futurity) – Iowa Stallion Qh Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Ts Koko Inmyjeans 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Windys Sweet Favorit 3.50 2.4 4-1
9 9 American Sparrow 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Ima Fast Cat Too 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Rm Flyeasycash 6.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Charming Gogo 8.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Settin On Go 15.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Smitty 10.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Trs Big Jake 15.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Just Bein Lippy 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Simmering 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Tapthatluck 4.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Sassy Ain’t I 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Kaylor 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Game to Play 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 House Wrecker 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Distorted Secrets 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Carry On 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Graydawn Day 1.60 2.6 5-1
4 4 Alizee 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Aunt Nadine 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Adria 1.80 1.6 3-1
3 3 Sweet Confusion 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Dixie Penny 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Firey Emblem 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Glory Roll 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 United Sister 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Relentless Rocket 6.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Free Will 4.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Delta Moon 1.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Apache Flight 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Jill’s Lemon Drop 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sing Lucy Sing 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hard Spirits 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Streakin’ Easy 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 The Awful Truth 2.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Nautical Miss 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Firebaugh 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kobe’s Cause 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Native Hellraiser 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 On a Dare 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Temple City Run 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Rowdy Ray 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Uncle Singh 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Dreadpirateroberts 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bit a Bad News 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Ivy Abad Girl 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Kid Biz 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Rudy Tooty 5.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 American Sue 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Reba 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Farrah Fowler 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Callhermrsgelner 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.