Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Roaring River | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lifespan | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cape Hedge | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiny Tin | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zipper Zapper | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rack Gin | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Monday’s With Mike | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Whyisshesoolucky | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Abidale | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Glen | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Chamita | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snappy Ride | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heleonortiz | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tonala | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mayfly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Panther Crossing | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take the Cookies | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trendy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bailintin | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Primera Vista | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Race Day | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grace Reformed | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Navani | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Baynham | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Neolithica | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uptown Jive | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mexican Sugar | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Take a Hint | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raise the Rent | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Detroit City | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Poppy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jean Valjean | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Comedy Act | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swifty Devil | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capt. Candy | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Delta Charm | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Every Time | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Expectations Met | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Jelly Bean | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hits Different | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Believe in Lov | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Praline Pecan | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Savannah’s Sugar | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pink Sunset | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Harbors Dream | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imperial King | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Juan | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shacks Way | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spotted Bull | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Candy | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Empire | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strawberry Cone | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Mia | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sun Bee | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Faccia Bella | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ragtime Belle | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peppermint Class | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corinna | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Compass Fire | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Izzybella | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cricket West | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Great Faces | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kidyounot | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Social Group | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Instigated | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Never Change | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghostinyou | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Textpectation | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bermondsey | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.