Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kissed by Fire | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Make It Snow | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Christina’s Candy | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thirty Carats | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calming Sea | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Sweet Mother Mary | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Hello | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Love Our Family | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Modera | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magazine | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zzyzx | 50.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Kaline | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hot Rod Mama | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Comptons House | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Minedandrefined | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Resilient | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Court Snort | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Inthearmynow | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Una Palabra | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Lightening | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Primrose Ridge (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ifuaintfirsturlast | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Tsunami | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beau Soleil | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Pixy Stix | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misty Muppet | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Flying Gracie | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capo Sorella | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fifty Stars | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pegs A. K. Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rose Barton (IRE) | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paleo’s Princess | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Taylor | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zeyaraat | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dendera | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Crown for Kitten | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Built Different | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quickly Park It | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Annie’s Song (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bad Sneakers | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bye Bye Ray | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Will Be | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aaron | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Broadway Unions | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mixto | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Secret | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arrowthegreat | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Forever | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Helladic | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Iceman | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Papa G | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rexford | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yogi Boy | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barsabas | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daniel’s Magic | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Ale | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Granitiansevensix | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bendettijoe | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Central Dispatch | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tokamak | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Storm the Night | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Happy Tears | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Burton Way | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bendettijoe | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Sparrow | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chaos Reigns | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Foreign Influence | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pray for Me Ray | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emerald Union | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classical | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.