Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tall Paul | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Quiet Wisdom | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apollo Code | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tall Paul | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mama’s Middie | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy’s Dreaming | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strawberry Kwik | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gucci Man | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solo in Paris | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Revelatory | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Ocean Mermaid (GB) | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Reverend Moon | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | All About Tonite | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Good Lord Lorrie | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Better Luck | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Stride | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | King Julien | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smokey Smokey | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Run Jalen Run | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Gypsy Mischief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Glacial Power | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | World Fair | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Freudian | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sa Foradada | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Icy Reply | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jolly Miss Jill | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yogi | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mursal | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | April Antics | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | One Giant Leap | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Commerce Comet | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ten Cent Town | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kupp | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thunderian | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dangerous Ride | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gabe | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nullify | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Deterministic | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Eliminate | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deterministic | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Informed Patriot | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reynolds Channel | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chaperone | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ridgewood Runner | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nullify | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hurricane Nelson | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Souffle | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Nolita | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mim | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Richies Princess | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Neigh Jude | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Be Best | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Foxy Cara | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Dream On Cara | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Crystal | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Liberty | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Better Humor Me | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Island Rose | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Galway S.) – Galway S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Love Reigns (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stone Silent | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love Appeals | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Sweet Affair | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | L J’s Emma | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beauty of the Sea | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Isabel Alexandra (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Redifined | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Reflexivity (IRE) | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Concert | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Weekend Rags | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Obrigada | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Anna’s Arabesque | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cuz Ur Pretty | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Unified Alliance | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Herb Moelis Memorial Saratoga Special S.) – Herb Moelis Memorial Saratoga Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Haul | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edified | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rhyme Schemes | 0.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Market Street | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lasso | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Woodcourt | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Fourstardave H.) – Fourstardave H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Annapolis | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Casa Creed | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emmanuel | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Chocolat (BRZ) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | So High (GB) | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full Screen | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Memphis | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What’s Up Doc | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forrest City | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cicciobello | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gut Feeling | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Order of Magnitude | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ice Road | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mistical Curlin | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chileno | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Skylander | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stella Mars | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Solib | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Waterville | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Photon | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Latest Edition | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Galley Head | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stella Mars | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Jasmine | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spinning Colors | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Robyn and Eli | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rheaume | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Charge Nurse | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Luna Loca | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.