Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Strong Headed 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Prefect 8.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 American Unity 10.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Battalion 2.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Tijuana Brass 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Antipoison 15.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Wicked Mad 20.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Mint Game 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Titrate 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Fermat 50.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Hanalei’s Houdini 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Shady Munni 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Away to Return 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Chem Major 12.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Illusion of Hope 2.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Victorian Riviera 5.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 One Las Olas 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Need a Marker 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Beltane 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Legendary Phantom 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Pure Realization 20.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Break the Chains 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Chat Blanc 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Classic Joke 4.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Without Pretence 4.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Hold My Stetson 30.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Neat 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Cataleya Strike 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Consultant 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Riccio 2.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Reel Well 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Beyond the Pale 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Northern Tick Tock 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Bonded 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Lookin for Justice 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Willow Wood 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Jardani 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Paradise Pride 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Sicilia Mike 12.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Velvet Ghost 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Savoy 20.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Never Change 6.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Galatians 2.50 7.7 15-1
3 3 Northern Thunder 50.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Gran Andrews 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Golden Charm 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Little Josie Wales 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Love Mami Love 2.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Tea Rose 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Bandonarun 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Smoke N Sin 50.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Magic in the Park 15.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Bay Street 15.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Flitter 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Too Many Kisses 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Always Forward 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Brzina 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Golden Heart 8.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Fast Lani 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 La Traviesa 12.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Diva Ready 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Awesome Jazz 20.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Queen Olly (IRE) 2.50 3.6 7-1
10 10 Bitty Boss 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Lola Flo 4.50 5.1 10-1
11 11 Noble Belief 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Gift of Gab 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Italian Dressing 0 0-1
6 6 Northern Glow 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Mama G’s Wish 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Flirtatious Lass 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Cut From Class 20.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Freccia d’Argento 3.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Charming Way 4.50 6.1 12-1
4 4 Italian Dressing 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Miss Georgie 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Prudent Song 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Gennie Highway 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Anonymously 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Nibbles 20.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Cupids Dream 4.50 3.7 7-1
12 12 Instinctive 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Congress Hall 4.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Chica Rabiosa 30.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Sheknowsthedrill 50.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Miss Dillingham 1.60 SCRATCH
11 11 Sweet Talia 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tout Ensemble 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.