Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipanema Princess (IRE) | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Free and Humble | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luminiferous | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Havana Angel (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ipanema Princess (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sherlyn Go Go | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Firsttimeinforever | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Redline | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mastering | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Direct Line | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cyberviking | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingmeister | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taishan | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brazenly | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Motown Music | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gentle (GB) | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Den of Iniquity (GB) | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Rose | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Peer | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strikingly | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sakura Flavor (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Flying Pharoah | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Irish Myth | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Night Blue (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ever a Rebel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Low Expectations | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Draw Munnings | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oviatt Class | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir London | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finneus | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Telos | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indulge | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smile Baby Smile | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Talent for Gold | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Safa | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Danzing | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lighting and Reign | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hayley Amber | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peppertini | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Signora Vittoria | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Borntostaythirsty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Sorrento S. Presented By Keeneland Sales) – Sorrento S. Presented By Keeneland Sales
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreamfyre | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Dreamfyre | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Benedetta | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dua | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vinos Angel | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kythira | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Motet | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ur in Trouble | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Feisty Mitole | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stressed | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secrets Told | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runninwiththeboyz | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carmen Miranda | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hotitude | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baby Kristen | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Jet Go | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Benedict Canyon | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Act of Serendipity | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pastor T | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Pastor T | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Maximus | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ario | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Fabricator | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | In Suspense | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Point Dume | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Win Again | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger Mo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Yellow Ribbon H.) – Yellow Ribbon H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ganadora | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Awake At Midnyte | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Closing Remarks | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ganadora | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turnerloose | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | School Dance | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Girl (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit And Glory (IRE) | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | James Gang | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aurelian Man | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raka Raka Cruz | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Missed Call | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior Road | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cathedral Light | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bag’s Gold | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Flatter | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reign Over Me | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kislovodsk | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aberdeen’s Knight | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Harbor Thunder | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Tangledupingrey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mentirosa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Relaxed Artist (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.