Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Famous Coronado 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Oh So Valiant 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Mighty Cute 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Ts Wave as I Fly Bye 8.00 5 10-1
1 1 Heza Spirited Ace 2.50 6 11-1
6 6 Bhr Light My Spark 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Meaponte 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Marfa Rocks 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Train of Thought V 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 That Reckless Pete 5.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Secret Ivory Girl 3.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Honeymoon Hero 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Flat Iron Lady 4.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Special Kool Kenny 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Frisky Gambler 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Esterbell Shagnasty 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Really Catty 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Free From Corona 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Charlies Politician 8.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Relentless Summer 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Idtakeherforaride 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Freedom Speaks 3.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Im Jess an Angel 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Redd Dirt Runner 10.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Rc Secret 6 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Strings 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Rickey B 6.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Broadway 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Swaggy George 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Charming Charlie 3.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rainbow Dash 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Annieway U Want It 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 War Music 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Do You Bileve 1.80 2.1 4-1
3 3 Dixie Trixie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Guided Arrow 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Lea Me Be 2.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Gem Collection 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Unbowed 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Go for It 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cole Spur 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 It’s All About Joe 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Milton Street 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Whonew 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Calle de Boyd 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Not a Dance 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sweet Stroll 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Kamea 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Happy Stroll 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Good N Lucky 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Smackin Good Time 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Lazy N Lucky 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gypsy Wife 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 She’s So Pretty 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Carry On 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Hoping for a Ring 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 All Good Times 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Xcaret 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Hawkeyes H.) – Hawkeyes H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Interstella 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bossy Moment 15.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Demidanu 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Miss Peach 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Flat Out Stormin 2.50 5.9 11-1
8 8 Kela’s Turn 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Kayla 10.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Just Like Trista 3.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Olive Oyl 10.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Stonecold Stunner 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.