Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Vanishing Interest 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Etretat 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Belly of Jelly 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Dollar Bill 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Bold Advance 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Chacharero 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Muchomachomac 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Looking for Hope 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Olga 4.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Tribute 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 She’s a Joy 3.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Black Belt Barbie 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Go Lil Lady 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Great Analogy 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Great Kostas 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Blue Soldier 4.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Voy Y Vengo 1.60 1.6 3-1
1 1 Doc Ballard 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Corporate Affair 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 Lucky Donnie G 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Krazykatkousin 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Big Balloons 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Eternal Flame 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Smokin Cloud 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Toretto 10.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Grand Valley 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 The Red Man 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Freelance 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Churchills Victory 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Millennium Park 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Divine 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Sweet Temptation 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Uncaptured Dove 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Appear 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Arzag 4.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Rastani 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sir Ollie 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Rough Entry 1.40 1.7 3-1
1 1 Bird Wildcat 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Morgan Point 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Cross Haste 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Capture the Time 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Light and Path 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 No Action 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Greek Mojo 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Cajun Fantasy 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Eilat 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Foggy Note 5.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Antrim 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Marthamaywhovier 0 0-1
8 8 Forever Uncaptured 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Laveau 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Novellie 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Marthamaywhovier 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 For the Thrill 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Quickstyle 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Sophia Lauren 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 J J Monet 30.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.