Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shasta Star | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Threatlevelmidnite (GB) | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Claire’s Darling | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Polished Gal | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Evangeline Allons | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Viking Queen | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flava’s Dream | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sheknowsthedrill | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tweet Away Robin | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Miner’s Gem | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Performanceanxiety | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Never Grew Up | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malinois | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tocayo | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rubys Flash | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laddie Dance | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King’s River | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summerstateofmind | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catahoula Moon | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dance for Green | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Battlebus | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pyron | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love You Much | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon and Ice | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aesthetically | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Remembering Wilbur | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One More Factor | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eye of Gunfighter | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rad Paisley | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Addy’s Laddy T N T | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thunder Boss | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bossyness | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magnificent Pearl | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Donna’s Courage | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Antietam | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Incontrovertible | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thencomemorning | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wine in the Dark | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peace Fire | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Vivian | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tres Maria’s Dream | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stage Call | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Santa Clara | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jump a Fox | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scarlett Strong | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shades of Blue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Vana Bright | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Grand Manner | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Don Bernardo | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Slick Nick | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cavalry Command | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Prendergast | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cypres Station | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marcus Junius | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Not as Lucky as Us | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Not a Baby | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Negra Gata | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rocket Ruthie | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proud Mary | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Punkin | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Tee | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Little Baby Girl | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Filly Phanatic | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bossy Diva | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | P J’s Rider | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Smoochinwithcindy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dancinonthebeach | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Up for It | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Street Lute | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Noble Bid | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moody Woman | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Self Isolation | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beneath the Stars | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Gracie | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancer’s Melody | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deco Strong | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Duckpins | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mataro | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Mitch | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Big Enchilada | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wind Event | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | For Honor and Luck | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Surprise Hello | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bar Down Express | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.