Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Neutral 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mentalist 6.00 2.3 4-1
11 11 Jones Falls 3.00 2.6 5-1
12 12 Ripken 15.00 3 6-1
8 8 Peja Du 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Sigmund 12.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Don’t Blame Freddy 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Spiritual Ghost 50.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Crazy Odds 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 He Rolls 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Federal Offense 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Grand Manner 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Judy’s Army 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cypres Station 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Ain’t No Sunshine 0 0-1
3 3 Family Gal 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Bootsy’s Merlot 1.80 1.1 2-1
5 5 Divine Magic 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Victoria’s Devine 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Ain’t No Sunshine 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Go Sherry Go 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Mashua 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Matty Bo 4.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Bizzy Bizzy 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Ellymarie 5.00 3 6-1
9 9 Ganbatte 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Super Money 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 No Sharing 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Snooze Button 12.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Gazalani 50.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Free Admission 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Dial for Love 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pit Stop Man 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Charge to Victory 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Spotted Bull 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Free Square 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Bahama Channel 5.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Hot N Spicy Love 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Hanalei’s Houdini 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Hagler 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Certain 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 Sir Lance 15.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Battle of Bastogne 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Maclin 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Runaway Road 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Bubba Chrome 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Call Me a Dreamer 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Thunderhouse 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Freegftwthpurchase 50.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Great Call 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Loving Cup 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mystic Seaport 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Hidewright Away 10.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 New Rome 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Mysisternancy 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Sweet Shugs 8.00 4 7-1
9 9 Spencerian 3.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Black Diamond Rain 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Genieinabridle 3.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Thunder Boss 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Summer Odds 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Hitch a Ride 10.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Bella Bettina 15.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Alla Breve 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Island Philo 30.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Raise Your Game 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Peace Out 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Police Woman 30.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Money’s Worth 1.60 SCRATCH
7 7 Evangeline Allons 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Cut From Class 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Al Loves Josie 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dollarization 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Chief Ron 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Hopeful Treasure 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Sir Alfred James 1.80 SCRATCH
2 2 Stage Left 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Nami 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Forgotten Gift 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Intro 15.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Catch the Kitten 8.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Time Goes Fast 30.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Cush Effect 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 My Forever Friend 2.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Dark Pool 1.80 3.8 7-1
7 7 Brooklyn Girl 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Imaginetheodds 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.