Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Forever Uncaptured 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 A Kiss for Khozan 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Mo Rissa 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Far Above 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Glazed Ginger 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Hidden Road 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Secret of Saratoga 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Themanupfront 0 0-1
2 2 Papeete 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Saint No More 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Cacique Abarrio 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Themanupfront 4.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Esperon 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Manhattan Boy 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Red Roadster 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stride 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Wall Street Trader 10.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Competitive Saint 1.60 1.5 3-1
6 6 A Rose for Raven 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Hunter 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Denying 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Corporate Affair 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Adios Your Honor 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Antillean 10.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 No More Debt 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Norfie 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Commander Biz 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Granted Success 2.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Handsome Todd 30.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Arte de Guerra 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Super Curioso (ARG) 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Moped Dennis 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Major King 1.60 2.4 5-1
3 3 Rare Jewel 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Nature Boy 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Runaway Tom 3.50 5 9-1
1 1 Euphoria Star 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kara and Colleen 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Grey Princess 20.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Mystic Sunrise 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 To Thyself B True 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Applause 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Red Tiara 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Etna’s Napper 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Call Me Spicy 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Gitana 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Princess Blakely 6.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Lovin Makes Cents 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Sheza Spitfire 12.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Heir to the Roar 4.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Girvin Girl 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Rubysa 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chapalu 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Uranium 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 He’s in Charge 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Sovereign of Speed 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Lee Ann’s Warrior 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Frenchmen Street 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Attentive 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Old Town Road 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.