Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 31, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jess Eye On Fire 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jess Lippy 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Dynasty Jane 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Tenacious Jess 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Just Tell Jess 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Six Figure Diamonds 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Praying Monk 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Ray Ray Soldier 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Ungawa 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 B a Destiny 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Nsmimgoingforaneagle 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Got Your Bac 6.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Apollitical Love 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Kynetic 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sheza Famous Candy 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Curls Cookie Wagon 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bhr Flashing Nickers 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Risin Cowboy 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Nsm Sugars Cartel 3.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Shes Reagle 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Chanel Gypsy 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Nito Skeeto 10.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Esterbell Shagnasty 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials) – Trials

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jess Folzookieing 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rustys Cowgirl 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 I Know the Cowboy 3.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Mr Tread Lightly 4.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Slippery Ann 6.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Incitatus Cowgirl 5.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Nsm Jessysrelentless 12.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 One Seperate Eagle 15.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Bhr So Long Charlie 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gp’s Amazing Grace 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Clay’s Opal Indy 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Brew Casa 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Graydawn Day 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Power to Play 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Henny’s Chick 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She’s a Big Star 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Social Circle 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Long Monday 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Reina Del Sur 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Yankee Pride 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 House Wrecker 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Morningnoonandnite 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 C’Mon Lucky 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Tommy’s Crue 8.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Won Happy Mama 3.50 6.6 12-1
3 3 Esprit Rouge 12.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 She’s Solid Silver 6.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Tennessee Grace 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Beverly Park 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Caseys Memory 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Far From Final 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Broadway Pete 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Ourbestfriend D L 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Lightning Struck 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Leaveitonthefield 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Run Fire Run 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ore Mine 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Bordinos 12.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Windy O K C 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Defiant Malice 6.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Biyombo 5.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 War Hawk 4.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Even Terms 8.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Adair County 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shemeansbizness 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Halosnheaven 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Present Time 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Arrested 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Collected Glory 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Minnie’s Ready 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Mucho Mia 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Aprettylulaby 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 American Sue 3.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Ivy Abad Girl 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Reba 4.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 Kid Biz 4.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Rednecker 8.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Bit a Bad News 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Catale 10.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.