Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Political Fling 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Train of Thought V 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Without Borders 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Coppyrhead Road 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Sfs Emma Sies 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Rising Sun 123 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Takin the Marfa Cash 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 K W 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Puts N the Work 10.00 2 4-1
4 4 Party Like a Hero 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Hunny Bee 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Miss Kvn Is Running 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Skedaddle Blue 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Rb Onefamousmongoose 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Zoomin Firstt 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rm Rapidrebel 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Jess a Lil Bit Hero 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Raci B 2.50 4 7-1
7 7 Chicks Du Tell 12.00 4 7-1
2 2 Waymakerr 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Coronas Kool 3.50 5.9 11-1
4 4 To Catch a Dynasty 8.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Mikes Last Shot 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mach Swede 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 One Sock Billy 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Quarternight 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Tail of Samson 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Let’s Rock N Roll 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Handsome Stranger 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Girl Pro 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Riobella 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Xcaret 4.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 War Music 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Carry On 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Awesome Family 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Giant Gamble 15.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Koselio 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Captain Don 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Monterey Peninsula 3.50 6.2 12-1
1 1 Lover Boy 6.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 James’s Moonshine 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Iowa Stallion Futurity) – Iowa Stallion Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Dialed in to Win 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Calebs Lady 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Surprise Road Trip 20.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Sincerely Mine 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Stairstep Toheaven 5.00 4.6 9-1
12 12 Dawson’s Storm 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Secret Strategy 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Inca Stroll 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Killian 10.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Specialsortastorm 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Freedom to Speed 30.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Mc Cougar 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 War Hawk 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Red White and Loud 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 A Brush of Luck 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 It’s All About Joe 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Uncle Chad 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Stormin’ J. J. 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Milton Street 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Shut Up Man 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Winze 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Acela Express 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Tribal Queen 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Maggie d’Cause 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Luv Map 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Iron Lotus 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Midnight Rules 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Succession 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Evil Knievel 2.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Weller Rogue 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Lawless John 4.00 5 10-1
4 4 Native Hellraiser 8.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Justice Once 10.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.