Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wild Caramelo | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Claw | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Breithorn | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Positively Awesome | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Overbearing | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pepe and Heywood | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drone Swarm | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seiver | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Louise Brooks | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Qia | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boardwalk Fries | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ariana Valentina | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Constitutionalrage | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Animal Princess | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grass Cutter | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Jo Jo | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colette’s Spirit | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Model Behavior | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Playboy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Elusive Image | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Estilo Clasico | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seax | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cape Cod Summer | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Henry | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Rocky Run | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Big Drama | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cup Match | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catchhimandfreehim | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stand United | 3.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Reckless Kelly | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Delta Charm | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Up for It | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Lancer | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Expectations Met | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Jelly Bean | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Apple Shake Shake | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bandonarun | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classy Slew | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tequesta | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Racing | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Believe in Lov | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Goodbye Kyle | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Lonelyhearts | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blome | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Army Brat | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sansa Ariel | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deeds of Love | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Filigree | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Judge and Jury | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Cash | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bomboloni | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capt. Candy | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kitchen Fire | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bam Bam Blu | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call Wil | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nichiren | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sam Stormy | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Roaring River | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Nottoway | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Beau | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Litigant | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shimmering Light | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Therisastormbrewin | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sutton Valley | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Noon Time Gem | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Solution | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Darnley | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pointer | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Monday’s With Mike | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Two by Two | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Unity | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Redeem Eddie | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buffalo Shuffle | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strong Headed | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Faces | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Borgobythesea | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jammin Still | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.