Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sky Buy 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Good Story 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Hey Riri 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Aztec Bay 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Voodoo Priestess 4.50 6.2 12-1
7 7 Celtic War Cry 4.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Midsummer Storm 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sure Can 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Alexis’s Storm 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Murph 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Gatita Suave 3.50 6.7 13-1
3 3 Angel Art 12.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Lovely Liza 1.60 7.7 15-1
9 9 Lady Mosler 5.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Yooou Know 12.00 8 15-1
2 2 Tritone Gal 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Under the Overpass 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Passioned 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Hoya 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Masakado 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 Force of Justice 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Sir Mason 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Uncle Chinito 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Speed Warning 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Flight of Bourbon 30.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Victim of the Nite 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Jackson Road 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Upsidedown Man 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Practical Sense 30.00 9 17-1
10 10 Switzer 3.50 9.1 17-1
8 8 Midnight Cat 8.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Great Idea 3.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 King of Song 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Top Mule 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 I Have Courage 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Auntie Rona 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Voodoo Mama Juju 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Chasing Artemis 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Shake It Girl 30.00 6 11-1
5 5 South Pacific 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Military Hop 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mystic Link 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Savoy 30.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Muchacho Macho 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Northern Thunder 30.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Curlin’s Thrill 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Antipoison 6.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Mice and Men 15.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Gallant Gold 15.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Ace Nine Nine 3.50 9.1 17-1
11 11 Ekati’s Verve 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Expect Ours 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Golden Can 8.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Canadian Ginger 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Awesome View 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Hot Lookin Royal 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Pray for the U S A 30.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Translate 3.50 5 9-1
8 8 Lady Jean 4.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Trikki Nikki 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Class Actor 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Paradise Valley 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Smooth Flyin Mike 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 On the Mark 8.00 5 9-1
8 8 The Khozan One 3.00 7 13-1
4 4 Mobeer 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Collectorate 30.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Running River 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Don’t Tell Deren 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mary Jane Chrome 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Shaolin 1.60 4 8-1
1 1 The Haunted Room 3.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Mosalah 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Pounding Music 4.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 True Blue Pearl 5.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Missawlet 4.50 8 15-1
8 8 Racing Colors 20.00 9 17-1
7 7 Backstreet Gal 30.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.