Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmythetooth | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Jimmythetooth | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Am Dada Moon | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Senegal | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Price Is Truth | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Film Academy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Instamatic | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hard Par | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Savage Spirit | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bali Amour | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charlie Tough | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bustin Away | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Split Strike | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss San Gabriel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Jasmine | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pout | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anileate | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tap It Up | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Snow Loves a Fight | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harlan’s Bond | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frosty Invasion | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Nell | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Carbon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Yogi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arella Star | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | It Takes Heart | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brisky Frolic | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Try It Again | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Supream | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Bastet | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Candy Caramel | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Karen | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Meraviglioso | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vitaemi | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Backed by Gold | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reigning Chick | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Game Theory | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gringotts | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mon Petit Chou | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beaute Cachee (FR) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Veronica Greene | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pleasant Passage | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mise En Scene (GB) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bramble Bay | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sail By | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Carol Ann (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beechnut Trophy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Know It All Audrey | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Caldwell Luvs Gold | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grab the Glory | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kant Call It | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Arwen | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Focus Pocus | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Regenerator | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poseidon’s Mist | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Archivist | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dreamery | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landbiscuit | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 7 | Tommy Bee | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Eyes On Target | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tartini | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Speedy Hans | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Goldini | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Landbiscuit | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Huge Bigly | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cupid’s Claws | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Microsecond | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Continental Divide | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Klickitat | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 13 | Truculent | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Moliere | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Healing | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Jumpster | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Birdstone S.) – Birdstone S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Next | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time for Trouble | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Skipper Too | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lone Rock | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dash Attack | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Foam | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Treasure Trove | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Space Launch | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pioneering Spirit | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dripping Gold | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Good Skate | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Merlin | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | High Tide | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Onenightstandards | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Royne | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Serifos | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Noneedtoworry | 50.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cross Border | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Corelli | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 11 | Tide of the Sea | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Mystic Night | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Southern District | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Charging | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sosua Summer | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tivy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Richy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Quest | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mackillop | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Native | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Famous Gent | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three Zero | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Twelth Man | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Son of a Birch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Camm’ Duke | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.