Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shania Sea | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Protomagic | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nurse Rachett | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valuable Breigh | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Me Again | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Had the Notion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rosy Apple | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dats a Superstar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shemademeblush | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emilia’s Legacy (PER) | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rain of Blessing | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sk’s Heart | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chooselov | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ivy Way | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bionic Kat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Little Mooji | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | King of Dreams | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Skipster | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The King Cheek | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Matuschek | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Box Office Warrior | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mission Key | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Cloud | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dramatized | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Burgee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Alvy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Shady McGee (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Redemption | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paradise Pride | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Greyzer | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Albertano | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Cairo | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Velvet Ghost | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sicilia Mike | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bermondsey | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miracle Silver | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Tones | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Work Hard | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Corn | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mortal Sin | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Final Opportunity | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Paynter’s Prodigy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Honest Rogue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Oligarch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Patty Cakes | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Out of Sorts | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gamestonks | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Toast | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Love You | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Musical Cat | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dry Well | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Strugar | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stonecoldwarrior | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Fish | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Louie | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St Andrews | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Spoke | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lord Berrier | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Practicality | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brick Town | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stellwagen Banker | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wootdareitis | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Minister Quinn | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Edmund Fitzgerald | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Am It | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Duck Ducky Goose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pressing Concern | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.